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Iran’s Present is Iran’s Past – Part VI, Rise of the Ayatollahs
As an intelligence operative, I need a good foundation in history to do my job. After all, if we don’t understand what happened in the past, we can’t understand what is happening today or why. This...
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Iran’s Present is Iran’s Past – Part IX, Playing Nuclear Chicken
As an intelligence operative, I need a good foundation in history to do my job. After all, if we don’t understand what happened in the past, we can’t understand what is happening today or why. This...
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Iran Approaches Nuclear Capability
Iran Approaches Nuclear Capability By Intelligence Operative Jay Holmes* For the past several weeks, we have reviewed Iran’s history in our efforts to understand current dynamics with that nation....
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So Why ARE We In Afghanistan?
By Intelligence Operative Jay Holmes* As we approach 2013, several Middle Eastern and Central Asian countries seem to be undergoing changes, but there is no consensus on what those changes will mean....
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Egypt: At the Corner of Theocracy and Democracy
By Intelligence Operative Jay Holmes* When the people of Egypt ousted President Hosni Mubarak on February 12, 2011, most Western media outlets assumed that the anti-Mubarak protestors were de facto...
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Syrian Sound and Fury–Update by Intelligence Operative Holmes
By Intelligence Operative Jay Holmes Things have accelerated in Syria during the last six months—things such as the death rate and the refugee crisis, which have increased alarmingly. Putting a number...
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Frowning, Mumbling, and US Arms Shipments–Intelligence Update on Syria
By Intelligence Operative Jay Holmes When we last published an analysis of the war in Syria in April 2013, this was where things stood: Various factions of Islamic fundamentalist-branded gangs had...
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Bad News for ISIS
By Jay Holmes On June 29, 2014, after gaining control over large swaths of northern Iraq, ISIS declared itself to be a caliphate. Its intention is to expand this caliphate from Morocco to Malaysia and...
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Free Lecture – Israeli Embassy’s Deputy Ambassador Jan 25 @ 3pm
FREE LECTURES: Israeli Embassy’s Deputy Ambassador (1/25) AND E.J. Dionne (2/8) 3 -5pm Bethesda Jewish Congregation (BJC) continues its Great Names Community Lecture Series on January 25 with a...
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Russia Upskirts Turkey — An Intelligence Perspective
Bayard & Holmes ~ Jay Holmes On Saturday, October 3, a Russian fighter flown from Syria entered Turkish airspace without Turkey’s permission. Russian SU-27 Flanker aircraft.Image by UK Royal Air...
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